Jeremy Payne is a Pass-Catching Back for TCU. Jeremy's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 132 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.30 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 0.45 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs USC (SP+ 17).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @North Carolina | W48-14 | -6.6 | 7 | 28 | 4.0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | -0.15 |
| 3 | vsAbilene Christian | W42-21 | — | 4 | 29 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 4 | vsSMU | W35-24 | 13.4 | 12 | 53 | 4.4 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 0.16 |
| 5 | @Arizona State | L24-27 | 3.9 | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | -0.14 |
| 7 | @Kansas State | L28-41 | 7.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 8 | vsBaylor | W42-36 | 1.4 | 5 | 15 | 3.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.09 |
| 11 | vsIowa State | L17-20 | 9.9 | 8 | 71 | 8.9 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.19 |
| 12 | @BYU | L13-44 | 15.9 | 9 | 55 | 6.1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 13 | @Houston | W17-14 | 7.4 | 18 | 103 | 5.7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 14 | vsCincinnati | W45-23 | 4.5 | 26 | 174 | 6.7 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 1 | vsUSC | W30-27 | 16.9 | 13 | 73 | 5.6 | 1 | 6 | 50 | 1 | 0.45 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.13
- Passing downs
- 0.49
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.62 / 0.11
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).