Josh Hoover is a Dual-Threat QB for TCU. Josh's 2025 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 404 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.25 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.09 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Abilene Christian.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @North Carolina | W48-14 | -6.6 | 27/36 | 284 | 2 | 1 | 78.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 3 | vsAbilene Christian | W42-21 | — | 21/27 | 337 | 4 | 0 | 97.4 | — | — | 1.09 |
| 4 | vsSMU | W35-24 | 13.4 | 22/40 | 379 | 5 | 1 | 85.9 | 27 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 5 | @Arizona State | L24-27 | 3.9 | 20/32 | 242 | 0 | 2 | 45.8 | -38 | 1 | 0.22 |
| 6 | vsColorado | W35-21 | -8.3 | 23/33 | 275 | 4 | 0 | 78.2 | 20 | 1 | 0.64 |
| 7 | @Kansas State | L28-41 | 7.0 | 26/47 | 376 | 3 | 2 | 27.8 | -3 | 0 | 0.13 |
| 8 | vsBaylor | W42-36 | 1.4 | 22/31 | 231 | 3 | 0 | 76.1 | -2 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 9 | @West Virginia | W23-17 | -6.8 | 24/39 | 247 | 1 | 0 | 59.0 | -3 | 0 | — |
| 11 | vsIowa State | L17-20 | 9.9 | 34/50 | 319 | 1 | 2 | 75.8 | 11 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 12 | @BYU | L13-44 | 15.9 | 10/23 | 183 | 0 | 2 | 46.8 | -6 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 13 | @Houston | W17-14 | 7.4 | 24/33 | 293 | 2 | 3 | 80.6 | -2 | 0 | 0.09 |
| 14 | vsCincinnati | W45-23 | 4.5 | 19/22 | 306 | 4 | 0 | 96.9 | -3 | 0 | 0.57 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.21
- Passing downs
- 0.64
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.45 / 0.18
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.