Justice Ellison is a Explosive Back for Indiana. Justice's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 158 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2024 Production
Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.32 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.12 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Western Illinois.
NIL Market Tier· 2024
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsFlorida International | W31-7 | -12.1 | 10 | 68 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | vsWestern Illinois | W77-3 | — | 9 | 117 | 13.0 | 2 | — | — | — | 1.12 |
| 3 | @UCLA | W42-13 | -1.3 | 10 | 47 | 4.7 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.25 |
| 4 | vsCharlotte | W52-14 | -15.3 | 9 | 58 | 6.4 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.21 |
| 5 | vsMaryland | W42-28 | -3.9 | 12 | 51 | 4.3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 6 | vsNorthwestern | W41-24 | -8.2 | 14 | 68 | 4.9 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.10 |
| 8 | vsNebraska | W56-7 | 5.5 | 9 | 105 | 11.7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 9 | vsWashington | W31-17 | 3.1 | 29 | 123 | 4.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 10 | @Michigan State | W47-10 | -4.6 | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | -0.12 |
| 11 | vsMichigan | W20-15 | 10.6 | 9 | 17 | 1.9 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | -0.08 |
| 13 | @Ohio State | L15-38 | 31.2 | 17 | 62 | 3.6 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.06 |
| 14 | vsPurdue | W66-0 | -16.2 | 11 | 63 | 5.7 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.31 |
| 1 | @Notre Dame | L17-27 | 23.9 | 11 | 37 | 3.4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.03 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.18
- Passing downs
- 0.22
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.19 / 0.19
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).