Justice Haynes is a Featured Back for Michigan. Justice's 2025 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 98 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.63 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs New Mexico (SP+ 1).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2019 | 213 | 0.470 | 4.7 | 100.1 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNew Mexico | W34-17 | 0.9 | 16 | 159 | 9.9 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | @Oklahoma | L13-24 | 18.3 | 19 | 125 | 6.6 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 0 | 0.05 |
| 3 | vsCentral Michigan | W63-3 | -8.8 | 14 | 104 | 7.4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 4 | @Nebraska | W30-27 | 6.2 | 17 | 149 | 8.8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 6 | vsWisconsin | W24-10 | -4.4 | 19 | 117 | 6.2 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.31 |
| 7 | @USC | L13-31 | 16.9 | 10 | 51 | 5.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 9 | @Michigan State | W31-20 | -3.4 | 26 | 152 | 5.8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | — |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.30
- Passing downs
- 0.32
- Pass / Rush EPA
- -0.09 / 0.37
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).