Justin Herbert is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Oregon. Justin's 2018 season ranks in the 48th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 446 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBowling Green | W58-24 | -22.0 | 10/21 | 281 | 5 | 2 | — | 41 | 1 | 0.78 |
| 2 | vsPortland State | W62-14 | — | 20/26 | 250 | 4 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 19/33 · Pass Yds 166 · Pass TD 1 · INT 0
| 0 |
| — |
| -5 |
| 0 |
| 0.54 |
| 3 | vsSan José State | W35-22 | -17.1 | 16/34 | 309 | 3 | 2 | — | 5 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 4 | vsStanford | L31-38 | 13.0 | 26/33 | 346 | 1 | 1 | — | 35 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 5 | @California | W42-24 | 3.9 | 16/22 | 225 | 2 | 0 | — | 31 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 7 | vsWashington | W30-27 | 19.9 | 18/32 | 202 | 2 | 0 | — | -1 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 8 | @Washington State | L20-34 | 11.3 | 25/44 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — | 9 | 1 | 0.24 |
| 9 | @Arizona | L15-44 | 3.6 | 24/48 | 186 | 2 | 1 | 38.7 | 31 | 0 | 0.01 |
| 10 | vsUCLA | W42-21 | -0.4 | 18/32 | 264 | 2 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 11 | @Utah | L25-32 | 16.8 | 20/33 | 288 | 3 | 0 | — | 24 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 12 | vsArizona State | W31-29 | 5.0 | 19/34 | 262 | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 13 | @Oregon State | W55-15 | -16.0 | 9/12 | 102 | 1 | 0 | — | -5 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 1 | vsMichigan State | W7-6 | 11.5 | 19/33 | 166 | 1 | 0 | — | -7 | 0 | 0.05 |
