Justin Herbert is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Oregon. Justin's 2019 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 459 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAuburn | L21-27 | — | 28/37 | 242 | 1 | 0 | 43.4 | -16 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 2 | vsNevada | W77-6 | — | 19/26 | 310 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 14/20 · Pass Yds 138 · Pass TD 0 · INT 1
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 94.2 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.94 |
| 3 | vsMontana | W35-3 | — | 30/42 | 316 | 5 | 0 | 91.4 | 18 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 4 | @Stanford | W21-6 | — | 19/24 | 259 | 3 | 0 | 78.5 | -22 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 6 | vsCalifornia | W17-7 | — | 20/33 | 214 | 1 | 1 | 49.9 | 32 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 7 | vsColorado | W45-3 | — | 18/32 | 261 | 2 | 0 | 74.3 | -12 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 8 | @Washington | W35-31 | — | 24/38 | 280 | 4 | 0 | 80.7 | 4 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 9 | vsWashington State | W37-35 | — | 21/30 | 222 | 0 | 0 | 62.6 | -8 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 10 | @USC | W56-24 | — | 21/26 | 225 | 3 | 1 | — | 8 | 1 | 0.73 |
| 12 | vsArizona | W34-6 | — | 20/28 | 333 | 4 | 1 | — | -16 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 13 | @Arizona State | L28-31 | — | 20/36 | 304 | 2 | 2 | — | -9 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 14 | vsOregon State | W24-10 | — | 18/30 | 174 | 1 | 0 | — | 22 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 15 | vsUtah | W37-15 | — | 14/26 | 193 | 1 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 1 | vsWisconsin | W28-27 | — | 14/20 | 138 | 0 | 1 | — | 29 | 3 | 0.22 |
