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Justin Williams-Thomas is a Explosive Back for Marshall. Justin's 2025 season produced 11.2 total EPA across 32 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
10%
projected
band 3%'25 5%17%
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Rushing
197 Rush yards2 Rush TD35 Carries5.6 Yards/carry
Receiving
3 Receptions41 Rec yards1 Rec TD13.7 Yards/rec
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Player type
Explosive Back
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)60th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency35th %ile · below avg
Key findings
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.33 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 1.24 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Coastal Carolina (SP+ -15).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Star
Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Georgia | L7-45 | 24.1 | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.13 |
| 2 | vsMissouri State | L20-21 | -10.7 | 8 | 61 | 7.6 | 1 | — | — | — | -0.14 |
| 3 | vsEastern Kentucky | W38-7 | — | 6 | 15 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 1 | 0.74 |
| 4 | @Middle Tennessee | W42-28 | -16.0 | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.39 |
| 5 | @Louisiana | L51-54 | -10.1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.10 |
| 7 | vsOld Dominion | W48-24 | 5.9 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.27 |
| 8 | vsTexas State | W40-37 | 2.3 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.67 |
| 10 | @Coastal Carolina | L27-44 | -15.1 | 5 | 53 | 10.6 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.24 |
| 11 | vsJames Madison | L23-35 | 12.3 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.03 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
Snap-share proxy
Overall
5.4%
Passing plays
1.2%
Rushing plays
8.1%
Standard downs
6.8%
Passing downs
2.1%
EPA by down type
- Standard downs
- 0.12
- Passing downs
- 2.56
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 1.73 / 0.21
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).