#13Kaytron Allen
Kaytron Allen is a Featured Back for Penn State. Kaytron's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 217 plays — a developing rate for the RB. A four-star recruit in the class of 2022, Kaytron has shown flashes of the talent that made him a coveted recruit.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
Recruiting Profile· Class of 2022
- Stars
- ★★★★★
- 247 composite
- 0.9385
- National rank
- #155
- High school
- IMG Academy
- Hometown
- Bradenton, FL
Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.21 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.84 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs UCLA (SP+ -9).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
| Eno Benjamin | Arizona State | 2018 | 316 | 0.330 | 4.6 | 104.3 |
| Donnel Pumphrey | San Diego State | 2016 | 344 | 0.320 | 4.2 | 110.1 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNevada | W46-11 | -13.4 | 8 | 43 | 5.4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 2 | vsFlorida International | W34-0 | -10.5 | 16 | 144 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 3 | vsVillanova | W52-6 | — | 10 | 86 | 8.6 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.60 |
| 5 | vsOregon | L24-30 | 25.9 | 12 | 54 | 4.5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 6 | @UCLA | L37-42 | -8.7 | 8 | 50 | 6.3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 7 | vsNorthwestern | L21-22 | 5.8 | 16 | 90 | 5.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 8 | @Iowa | L24-25 | 19.7 | 28 | 145 | 5.2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 10 | @Ohio State | L14-38 | 30.1 | 21 | 76 | 3.6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 11 | vsIndiana | L24-27 | 32.4 | 19 | 48 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -0.06 |
| 12 | @Michigan State | W28-10 | -3.4 | 25 | 181 | 7.2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 13 | vsNebraska | W37-10 | 6.2 | 25 | 160 | 6.4 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.17 |
| 14 | @Rutgers | W40-36 | 1.0 | 22 | 226 | 10.3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0.09 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.21
- Passing downs
- 0.12
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.07 / 0.20
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.