Liam Szarka is a Dual-Threat QB for Air Force. Liam's 2025 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 301 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.54 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.89 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Bucknell.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBucknell | W49-13 | — | 2/2 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 96.8 | 7 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 3 | @Utah State | L30-49 | -3.1 | 6/14 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 34.9 | 40 | 3 | 0.21 |
| 4 | vsBoise State | L37-49 | 3.1 | 13/18 | 246 | 2 | 1 | 93.9 | 110 | 1 | 0.76 |
| 5 | vsHawai'i | L35-44 | 1.7 | 10/12 | 278 | 3 | 1 | 88.5 | 139 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 6 | @Navy | L31-34 | 6.2 | 11/19 | 212 | 2 | 0 | 80.7 | 152 | 2 | 0.47 |
| 7 | @UNLV | L48-51 | 4.3 | 10/17 | 175 | 1 | 0 | 79.3 | 136 | 2 | 0.47 |
| 8 | vsWyoming | W24-21 | -11.3 | 3/8 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 47.7 | 141 | 1 | 0.21 |
| 10 | vsArmy | L17-20 | 0.8 | 13/17 | 161 | 0 | 2 | 49.3 | 91 | 2 | 0.34 |
| 11 | @San José State | W26-16 | -14.3 | 5/10 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 33.6 | 87 | 2 | -0.04 |
| 12 | @UConn | L16-26 | 5.1 | 2/3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 | 19 | 0 | -0.52 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.34
- Passing downs
- 0.48
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.59 / 0.27
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).