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Lloyd Avant

#25Lloyd Avant

Lloyd Avant is a Pass-Catching Back for Colorado State. Lloyd's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 106 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

16%
projected
band 9%'25 16%23%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing
417 Rush yards5 Rush TD90 Carries4.6 Yards/carry
Receiving
24 Receptions261 Rec yards1 Rec TD10.9 Yards/rec
Returns
11 Kick returns268 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency22th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.75 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Hawai'i (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Washington: -0.12 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Northern Colorado: +0.26 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs UTSA: +0.23 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Washington State: +0.69 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs San Diego State: -0.24 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Fresno State: +0.08 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Hawai'i: +0.75 EPA/play8Wk 11 vs UNLV: +0.00 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs New Mexico: -0.36 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Boise State: -0.25 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Air Force: +0.47 EPA/play14
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@WashingtonL21-3818.44123.00-0.12
2vsNorthern ColoradoW21-1711686.220.26
4vsUTSAL16-173.710969.602100.23
5vsWashington StateL3-203.85336.6044300.69
6@San Diego StateL24-456.73175.70110-0.24
7vsFresno StateW49-211.816523.311400.08
8vsHawai'iL19-311.78506.300.75
9@WyomingL0-28-11.34143.50
11vsUNLVL10-424.35142.801500.00
12@New MexicoL17-200.912363.002441-0.36
13@Boise StateL21-493.19141.615280-0.25
14vsAir ForceL21-42-3.23113.71813500.47

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
15.7%
Passing plays
7.3%
Rushing plays
26.7%
Standard downs
16.9%
Passing downs
13.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.03
Passing downs
0.45
Pass / Rush EPA
0.37 / 0.09

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.