#4Maddux Madsen
Maddux Madsen is a Dual-Threat QB for Boise State. Maddux's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 291 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.33 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.85 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Air Force (SP+ -3).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @South Florida | L7-34 | 11.6 | 25/46 | 225 | 1 | 0 | 26.0 | 31 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 2 | vsEastern Washington | W51-14 | — | 16/26 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 85.1 | 35 | 1 | 0.77 |
| 4 | @Air Force | W49-37 | -3.2 | 13/23 | 276 | 2 | 1 | 74.5 | — | — | 0.85 |
| 5 | vsApp State | W47-14 | -11.4 | 25/37 | 321 | 4 | 0 | 83.8 | -14 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 6 | @Notre Dame | L7-28 | 24.4 | 22/37 | 215 | 0 | 4 | 43.9 | 5 | 1 | -0.20 |
| 7 | vsNew Mexico | W41-25 | 0.9 | 21/31 | 226 | 2 | 0 | 46.8 | -19 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 8 | vsUNLV | W56-31 | 4.3 | 14/23 | 253 | 4 | 1 | 83.5 | 23 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 9 | @Nevada | W24-3 | -13.4 | 15/28 | 174 | 0 | 1 | 42.2 | 15 | 1 | — |
| 10 | vsFresno State | L7-30 | 1.8 | 1/4 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | -6 | 0 | -0.43 |
| 15 | vsUNLV | W38-21 | 4.3 | 17/31 | 289 | 3 | 0 | 90.6 | 10 | 1 | 0.18 |
| 1 | vsWashington | L10-38 | 18.4 | 7/16 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 4.4 | 1 | 0 | -0.26 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.18
- Passing downs
- 0.39
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.27 / 0.31
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.