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Mark Fletcher Jr.

#4Mark Fletcher Jr.

RB·Miami·2025

Mark Fletcher Jr. is a Explosive Back for Miami. Mark's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 200 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

20%
projected
band 13%'25 24%28%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing
1192 Rush yards12 Rush TD216 Carries5.5 Yards/carry
Receiving
17 Receptions140 Rec yards2 Rec TD8.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Peak game: 0.72 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Bethune-Cookman.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State20162880.3403.997.9
Dalvin CookFlorida State20162920.3404.399.3
Breece HallIowa State20203010.3404.5102.3
Eno BenjaminArizona State20183160.3304.6104.3
Hassan HaskinsMichigan20212800.3804.8106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Notre Dame: +0.07 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Bethune-Cookman: +0.72 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs South Florida: +0.50 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Florida: +0.04 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Florida State: +0.00 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Louisville: +0.01 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs SMU: +0.02 EPA/play10Wk 13 vs Virginia Tech: +0.11 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Pittsburgh: -0.21 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Ole Miss: +0.36 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Ohio State: +0.36 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Indiana: +0.36 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Texas A&M: +0.36 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsNotre DameW27-2424.415664.401800.07
2vsBethune-CookmanW45-311867.8211200.72
3vsSouth FloridaW49-1211.6161207.5222500.50
4vsFloridaW26-73.5241164.810.04
6@Florida StateW28-227.212403.301800.00
8vsLouisvilleL21-2412.48182.310.01
9vsStanfordW42-7-11.8231064.633130
10@SMUL20-2613.416845.3031900.02
13@Virginia TechW34-17-10.16193.2032210.11
14@PittsburghW38-78.410303.01-0.21
1vsOle MissW31-2724.0221336.000.36
1vsOhio StateW24-1430.119904.7022510.36
1vsIndianaL21-2732.4171126.621800.36
1@Texas A&MW10-320.71717210.100.36

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
23.7%
Passing plays
4.8%
Rushing plays
42.6%
Standard downs
28.1%
Passing downs
11.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.20
Passing downs
-0.11
Pass / Rush EPA
0.08 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.