#17Matthew Henry
Matthew Henry is a Slot Specialist WR for Western Kentucky. Matthew's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 63 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.44 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 2.00 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Middle Tennessee (SP+ -16).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSam Houston | W41-24 | -27.8 | 7 | 148 | 21.1 | 1 | 55 | 1.04 |
| 1 | vsNorth Alabama | W55-6 | — | 2 | 41 | 20.5 | 1 | 27 | 1.04 |
| 2 | @Toledo | L21-45 | 6.0 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 1 | 7 | 0.47 |
| 4 | vsNevada | W31-16 | -13.4 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | -0.22 |
| 5 | @Missouri State | W27-22 | -10.7 | 5 | 73 | 14.6 | 0 | 34 | 1.00 |
| 6 | @Delaware | W27-24 | -10.9 | 4 | 99 | 24.8 | 0 | 48 | 1.38 |
| 8 | vsFlorida International | L6-25 | -10.5 | 2 | 58 | 29.0 | 0 | 46 | 1.30 |
| 9 | @Louisiana Tech | W28-27 | -1.3 | 5 | 52 | 10.4 | 0 | 17 | — |
| 10 | vsNew Mexico State | W35-16 | -15.5 | 7 | 81 | 11.6 | 2 | 25 | 0.82 |
| 12 | vsMiddle Tennessee | W42-26 | -16.0 | 7 | 135 | 19.3 | 1 | 37 | 2.00 |
| 13 | @LSU | L10-13 | 10.3 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 7 | 0.47 |
| 14 | @Jacksonville State | L34-37 | -6.7 | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | 0 | 22 | 1.01 |
| 1 | vsSouthern Miss | W27-16 | -7.1 | 7 | 126 | 18.0 | 0 | 46 | 1.81 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.62
- Passing downs
- 1.69
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 1.15 / -0.28
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).