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Mitchell Tinsley

#5Mitchell Tinsley

Mitchell Tinsley is a Versatile WR for Western Kentucky. Mitchell's 2021 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 79 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2021 Production

Receiving
87 Receptions1402 Rec yards14 Rec TD16.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency84th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.66 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Florida Atlantic (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs UT Martin: +1.51 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Army: +1.28 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Indiana: +1.03 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Michigan State: +0.81 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs UTSA: +1.00 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Old Dominion: -0.05 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Florida International: +0.45 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.55 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Florida Atlantic: +1.66 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs UTSA: +0.59 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs App State: +0.81 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsUT MartinW59-2155811.61211.51
2@ArmyL35-384.759318.61351.28
4vsIndianaL31-33-7.846817.00381.03
5@Michigan StateL31-4811.2712718.10600.81
6vsUTSAL46-526.5510220.41401.00
7@Old DominionW43-20-7.4284.005-0.05
8@Florida InternationalW34-19-21.668313.81320.45
9vsCharlotteW45-13-13.768814.7127
10vsMiddle TennesseeW48-21-4.035317.71280.55
11@RiceW42-21-22.91019819.8265
12vsFlorida AtlanticW52-17-5.2916418.22391.66
13@MarshallW53-218.09849.3013
14@UTSAL41-496.5917319.22600.59
1vsApp StateW59-3810.3710314.72750.81

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
9.9%
Passing plays
14.3%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
9.7%
Passing downs
10.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.57
Passing downs
1.89
Pass / Rush EPA
0.94 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.