Nate Frazier is a Committee Back for Georgia. Nate's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 183 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.12 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 0.68 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Mississippi State (SP+ 4).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMarshall | W45-7 | -4.5 | 11 | 47 | 4.3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.02 |
| 2 | vsAustin Peay | W28-6 | — | 14 | 69 | 4.9 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 3 | @Tennessee | W44-41 | 15.0 | 14 | 73 | 5.2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.03 |
| 5 | vsAlabama | L21-24 | 14.8 | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.29 |
| 6 | vsKentucky | W35-14 | 1.8 | 7 | 34 | 4.9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0.16 |
| 7 | @Auburn | W20-10 | 11.6 | 10 | 24 | 2.4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | -0.06 |
| 8 | vsOle Miss | W43-35 | 24.0 | 17 | 72 | 4.2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.08 |
| 10 | vsFlorida | W24-20 | 3.5 | 12 | 45 | 3.8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 11 | @Mississippi State | W41-21 | 4.1 | 12 | 181 | 15.1 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.68 |
| 12 | vsTexas | W35-10 | 16.2 | 16 | 72 | 4.5 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.02 |
| 13 | vsCharlotte | W35-3 | -26.7 | 12 | 54 | 4.5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -0.01 |
| 14 | vsGeorgia Tech | W16-9 | 9.3 | 16 | 108 | 6.8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 15 | vsAlabama | W28-7 | 14.8 | 13 | 52 | 4.0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -0.10 |
| 1 | vsOle Miss | L34-39 | 24.0 | 15 | 86 | 5.7 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0.16 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.11
- Passing downs
- 0.27
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.46 / 0.10
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).