#10Nicholas Singleton
Nicholas Singleton is a 2-year Pass-Catching Back for Penn State. Nicholas's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 149 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.59 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Rutgers (SP+ 1).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNevada | W46-11 | -13.4 | 8 | 19 | 2.4 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 2 | vsFlorida International | W34-0 | -10.5 | 13 | 76 | 5.8 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.56 |
| 3 | vsVillanova | W52-6 | — | 20 | 84 | 4.2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 5 | vsOregon | L24-30 | 25.9 | 11 | 21 | 1.9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 6 | @UCLA | L37-42 | -8.7 | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 7 | vsNorthwestern | L21-22 | 5.8 | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 8 | @Iowa | L24-25 | 19.7 | 6 | 15 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.46 |
| 10 | @Ohio State | L14-38 | 30.1 | 6 | 18 | 3.0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 11 | vsIndiana | L24-27 | 32.4 | 10 | 71 | 7.1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 1 | -0.02 |
| 12 | @Michigan State | W28-10 | -3.4 | 15 | 56 | 3.7 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.25 |
| 13 | vsNebraska | W37-10 | 6.2 | 7 | 44 | 6.3 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 14 | @Rutgers | W40-36 | 1.0 | 9 | 86 | 9.6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0.59 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.08
- Passing downs
- 0.29
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.26 / 0.10
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.