Scores
Dev
← Player leaders
Noah Short

#15Noah Short

WR·Army·2024
Line value
0.5 pts
NFL Draft Outlook1st Round· model estimate based on position rank

Noah Short is a Vertical Threat WR for Army. Noah's 2024 season ranks in the 50th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 95 plays — a average rate for the WR.

2024 Production

Rushing
569 Rush yards2 Rush TD75 Carries7.6 Yards/carry
Receiving
17 Receptions318 Rec yards3 Rec TD18.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)50th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency69th %ile · average
Key findings
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 1.08 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 2.30 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Tulsa (SP+ -21).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Chris TyreeNotre Dame2020760.3100.623.6
Malik DunnerBall State2017760.2900.422.0
Jafar ArmstrongNotre Dame2018790.3201.025.3
Dawan ScottMiami (OH)2014660.2800.818.5
Xavier WhiteTexas Tech2020620.3000.518.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Lehigh: +1.08 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Florida Atlantic: +1.17 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Rice: +0.53 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Temple: +1.13 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Tulsa: +2.30 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs UAB: +0.79 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs East Carolina: +1.41 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Air Force: +0.34 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs North Texas: +0.76 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Notre Dame: -0.08 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs UTSA: +0.18 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Tulane: +0.14 EPA/play15Wk 16 vs Navy: -0.33 EPA/play16Wk 1 vs Louisiana Tech: -0.16 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsLehighW42-7166.0061.08
2@Florida AtlanticW24-7-12.71.17
4vsRiceW37-14-11.424723.51410.53
5@TempleW42-14-20.312727.00271.13
6@TulsaW49-7-20.6312140.32582.30
7vsUABW44-10-11.30.79
8vsEast CarolinaW45-28-1.024120.50271.41
10vsAir ForceW20-3-11.711010.00100.34
11@North TexasW14-3-4.5177.0070.76
13vsNotre DameL14-4923.92115.509-0.08
14vsUTSAW29-242.223517.50290.18
15vsTulaneW35-145.7188.0080.14
16vsNavyL13-313.5155.005-0.33
1vsLouisiana TechW27-6-11.6-0.16

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.1%
Passing plays
17.2%
Rushing plays
10.1%
Standard downs
9.4%
Passing downs
16.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.56
Passing downs
0.74
Pass / Rush EPA
1.26 / 0.46

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.