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Patrick O'Brien

#10Patrick O'Brien

Patrick O'Brien is a Clutch Passer for Colorado State. Patrick's 2019 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 394 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2019 Production

Passing
209/338 Comp/Att2803 Pass yards13 Pass TD7 INT61.8% Comp %
Rushing
-21 Rush yards2 Rush TD63 Carries-0.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency61th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.39 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 2.49 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Western Illinois.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 2 vs Western Illinois: +2.49 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Arkansas: +0.36 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Toledo: +0.52 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Utah State: -0.04 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs San Diego State: +0.14 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs New Mexico: +0.59 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Fresno State: +0.30 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs UNLV: +0.55 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Air Force: +0.01 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Wyoming: +0.25 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Boise State: +0.41 EPA/play14
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
2vsWestern IllinoisW38-131/1290099.92.49
3@ArkansasL34-55-10.67/101061057.0-800.36
4vsToledoL35-41-13.732/524051176.52710.52
5@Utah StateL24-34-4.314/302170023.1-130-0.04
6vsSan Diego StateL10-242.019/302171131.2-1300.14
7@New MexicoW35-21-17.025/344203093.4-1300.59
9@Fresno StateW41-31-4.023/423222153.51110.30
10vsUNLVW37-17-17.417/2723400900.55
12vsAir ForceL21-3812.128/4334721-3800.01
13@WyomingL7-17-1.117/29217111100.25
14vsBoise StateL24-318.126/4028922600.41

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
51.5%
Passing plays
85.4%
Rushing plays
12.4%
Standard downs
45.3%
Passing downs
64.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.17
Passing downs
0.47
Pass / Rush EPA
0.33 / -0.00

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.