Paxton Lynch is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Memphis. Paxton's 2015 season ranks in the 60th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 517 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Ryan Higgins | Louisiana Tech | 2016 | 571 | 0.586 | 13.7 | 334.6 |
| Tanner Mordecai | SMU | 2021 | 510 | 0.630 | 14.0 | 321.5 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMissouri State | W63-7 | — | 8/12 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 84.1 | 27 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 2 | @Kansas | W55-23 | -21.3 | 22/25 | 354 | 2 | 0 | 95.5 | 14 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 3 | @Bowling Green | W44-41 | 7.5 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 16/37 · Pass Yds 106 · Pass TD 0 · INT 1
| 29/40 |
| 386 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 88.8 |
| 17 |
| 0 |
| 0.50 |
| 4 | vsCincinnati | W53-46 | 5.3 | 24/36 | 412 | 2 | 0 | 80.3 | 52 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 5 | @South Florida | W24-17 | 3.6 | 20/33 | 305 | 2 | 0 | 72.8 | 6 | 1 | 0.35 |
| 7 | vsOle Miss | W37-24 | 27.0 | 39/53 | 384 | 3 | 1 | 63.1 | 3 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 8 | @Tulsa | W66-42 | -8.5 | 32/44 | 447 | 4 | 0 | 96.0 | 6 | 1 | 0.72 |
| 9 | vsTulane | W41-13 | -14.0 | 26/42 | 343 | 1 | 0 | 68.3 | 43 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 10 | vsNavy | L20-45 | 12.1 | 26/42 | 305 | 1 | 1 | 67.9 | 24 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 11 | @Houston | L34-35 | 6.2 | 20/31 | 278 | 2 | 1 | 69.1 | 43 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 12 | @Temple | L12-31 | 6.0 | 25/34 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 36.0 | -2 | 0 | 0.01 |
| 13 | vsSMU | W63-0 | -17.5 | 9/14 | 222 | 7 | 0 | 98.7 | 7 | 0 | 1.59 |
| 1 | vsAuburn | L10-31 | 14.6 | 16/37 | 106 | 0 | 1 | 13.4 | -1 | 0 | -0.26 |
