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Trace McSorley

#9Trace McSorley

Line value
12.7 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

Trace McSorley is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Penn State. Trace's 2017 season ranks in the 65th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 555 plays — a average rate for the QB.

2017 Production

Passing
284/427 Comp/Att3570 Pass yards28 Pass TD10 INT66.5% Comp %
Rushing
491 Rush yards11 Rush TD144 Carries3.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)65th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.09 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Georgia State (SP+ -14).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Ryan HigginsLouisiana Tech20165710.58613.7334.6
Baker MayfieldOklahoma20155770.56114.1323.7
J.T. BarrettOhio State20175760.59314.1341.6
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0
Kyle McCordSyracuse20246320.50912.1321.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Akron: +0.50 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Pittsburgh: +0.18 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Georgia State: +1.09 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Iowa: +0.06 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Indiana: +0.09 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Northwestern: +0.15 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Michigan: +0.54 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Ohio State: +0.33 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Michigan State: +0.26 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Rutgers: +0.27 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Nebraska: +0.64 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Maryland: +0.39 EPA/play13Wk 1 vs Washington: +0.45 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsAkronW52-0-17.618/252802182.84810.50
2vsPittsburghW33-146.015/281643170.46500.18
3vsGeorgia StateW56-0-14.018/233094098.72411.09
4@IowaW21-199.831/482841134.66100.06
5vsIndianaW45-1410.223/363152141.1-1910.09
6@NorthwesternW31-711.225/342451062.9-110.15
8vsMichiganW42-1319.617/262821183.47630.54
9@Ohio StateL38-3930.917/291922077.24910.33
10@Michigan StateL24-2713.826/4738133200.26
11vsRutgersW35-6-5.516/212142087.24410.27
12vsNebraskaW56-442.524/363253091.94610.64
13@MarylandW66-3-4.522/332372091.13610.39
1vsWashingtonW35-2822.132/413422290.46000.45

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
62.8%
Passing plays
93.8%
Rushing plays
28.5%
Standard downs
56.2%
Passing downs
78.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.10
Passing downs
0.69
Pass / Rush EPA
0.35 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2017
2016 — 2017 · 27 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2016Penn State
11.2
0.524301.2
2017Penn State
12.7
0.513-0.01321.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.