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Sawyer Robertson

#13Sawyer Robertson

Line value
8.3 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

Sawyer Robertson is a Dual-Threat QB for Baylor. Sawyer's 2024 season ranks in the 68th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 413 plays — a average rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
229/368 Comp/Att3071 Pass yards28 Pass TD8 INT62.2% Comp %
Rushing
230 Rush yards4 Rush TD63 Carries3.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)68th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.22 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Tarleton State.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Tarleton State: +1.22 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Air Force: +0.36 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Colorado: +0.08 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs BYU: +0.37 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Iowa State: +0.29 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Texas Tech: +0.56 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Oklahoma State: +0.93 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs TCU: +0.38 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs West Virginia: +0.57 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Houston: +0.54 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Kansas: +0.49 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs LSU: +0.17 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsTarleton StateW45-33/5671097.91.22
3vsAir ForceW31-3-11.718/242480087.6510.36
4@ColoradoL31-388.111/211482089.78210.08
5vsBYUL28-3415.327/483243275.62910.37
6@Iowa StateL21-4310.325/442583188.42400.29
8@Texas TechW59-354.321/322745078.61600.56
9vsOklahoma StateW38-28-2.611/192223188.87310.93
10vsTCUW37-3410.819/342420080.12800.38
12@West VirginiaW49-352.126/363293086.0-500.57
13@HoustonW20-10-8.215/232042356.7-1400.54
14vsKansasW45-174.923/313104088.6-1100.49
1vsLSUL31-4415.930/514452172.1300.17

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
50.4%
Passing plays
93.1%
Rushing plays
11.4%
Standard downs
44.9%
Passing downs
63.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.32
Passing downs
0.54
Pass / Rush EPA
0.40 / 0.42

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.