#26Sire Gaines
Sire Gaines is a Explosive Back for Boise State. Sire's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 136 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.81 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs UNLV (SP+ 4).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @South Florida | L7-34 | 11.6 | 9 | 44 | 4.9 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | -0.48 |
| 2 | vsEastern Washington | W51-14 | — | 14 | 98 | 7.0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 4 | @Air Force | W49-37 | -3.2 | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.77 |
| 5 | vsApp State | W47-14 | -11.4 | 12 | 69 | 5.8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -0.10 |
| 6 | @Notre Dame | L7-28 | 24.4 | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.11 |
| 7 | vsNew Mexico | W41-25 | 0.9 | 20 | 65 | 3.3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 8 | vsUNLV | W56-31 | 4.3 | 6 | 24 | 4.0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0.81 |
| 9 | @Nevada | W24-3 | -13.4 | 17 | 62 | 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | vsFresno State | L7-30 | 1.8 | 7 | 39 | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -0.01 |
| 12 | @San Diego State | L7-17 | 6.7 | 13 | 78 | 6.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.12 |
| 13 | vsColorado State | W49-21 | -15.6 | 22 | 149 | 6.8 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 14 | @Utah State | W25-24 | -3.1 | 10 | 31 | 3.1 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.06 |
| 15 | vsUNLV | W38-21 | 4.3 | 9 | 64 | 7.1 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.45 |
| 1 | vsWashington | L10-38 | 18.4 | 8 | 16 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.01 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.24
- Passing downs
- 0.05
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.25 / 0.21
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).