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Spencer Sanders

#3Spencer Sanders

Line value
5.5 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 3 (Rds 4–7)· model estimate based on position rank

Spencer Sanders is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Oklahoma State. Spencer's 2021 season ranks in the 5th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 529 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2021 Production

Passing
243/391 Comp/Att2839 Pass yards20 Pass TD12 INT62.1% Comp %
Rushing
668 Rush yards6 Rush TD146 Carries4.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)5th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.80 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Kansas State (SP+ 14).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 2 vs Tulsa: +0.50 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Boise State: +0.31 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Kansas State: +0.80 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Baylor: +0.37 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Texas: +0.18 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Iowa State: +0.40 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Kansas: +0.50 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs West Virginia: +0.09 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs TCU: +0.49 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Texas Tech: +0.41 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Oklahoma: +0.16 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Baylor: +0.16 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Notre Dame: +0.29 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
2vsTulsaW28-235.815/261732164.96200.50
3@Boise StateW21-209.46/13820052.94010.31
4vsKansas StateW31-2014.222/343442087.41810.80
5vsBaylorW24-1415.613/231821363.67600.37
7@TexasW32-248.519/321781150.92010.18
8@Iowa StateL21-2414.315/242253081.42900.40
9vsKansasW55-3-19.712/191572077.15310.50
10@West VirginiaW24-31.821/311822151.21800.09
11vsTCUW63-17-0.617/252351079.35300.49
12@Texas TechW23-09.819/372391071.84810.41
13vsOklahomaW37-3316.819/302141260.79310.16
14vsBaylorL16-2115.631/462570455.63300.16
1vsNotre DameW37-3517.434/513714081.412500.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
54.1%
Passing plays
96.0%
Rushing plays
23.1%
Standard downs
48.9%
Passing downs
66.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.28
Passing downs
0.46
Pass / Rush EPA
0.36 / 0.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2021
2020 — 2021 · 22 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2020Oklahoma State
4
0.406146.7
2021Oklahoma State
5.5
0.435+0.03247.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.