#15Steve Chavez-Soto

RB·San José State·2025

Steve Chavez-Soto is a Committee Back for San José State. Steve's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 84 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

16%

projected

band 9%'25 16%23%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing

448 Rush yards7 Rush TD87 Carries5.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

3 Receptions15 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.80 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Utah State (SP+ -3).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
6	vsNew Mexico	W35-28	0.9	14	71	5.1	2	—	—	—	0.54
7	@Wyoming	L28-35	-11.3	12	25	2.1	0	—	—	—	-0.45
8	@Utah State	L25-30	-3.1	11	102	9.3	1	1	17	0	0.80
10	vsHawai'i	W45-38	1.7	10	53	5.3	3	—	—	—	-0.19
11	vsAir Force	L16-26	-3.2	9	49	5.4	1	—	—	—	-0.04
12	@Nevada	L10-55	-13.4	8	47	5.9	0	—	—	—	0.07
13	@San Diego State	L3-25	6.7	14	51	3.6	0	2	-2	0	-0.09
14	vsFresno State	L14-41	1.8	9	50	5.6	0	—	—	—	0.20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

15.7%

Passing plays

1.6%

Rushing plays

37.3%

Standard downs

18.9%

Passing downs

8.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.09
Passing downs: 0.30
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.18 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).