#5Sutton Smith

RB·Memphis·2025

Sutton Smith is a Committee Back for Memphis. Sutton's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 109 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

15%

projected

band 8%'25 15%23%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing

669 Rush yards7 Rush TD102 Carries6.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

20 Receptions109 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.5 Yards/rec

Returns

5 Kick returns155 KR yards1 KR TD15 Punt returns125 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.34 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.94 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Arkansas (SP+ 5).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsChattanooga	W45-10	—	9	60	6.7	1	1	2	0	0.06
2	@Georgia State	W38-16	-24.5	14	74	5.3	1	4	43	0	0.29
3	@Troy	W28-7	-4.8	18	113	6.3	2	2	7	0	0.08
4	vsArkansas	W32-31	5.1	12	147	12.3	1	—	—	—	0.94
5	@Florida Atlantic	W55-26	-8.7	7	26	3.7	0	1	0	0	-0.28
6	vsTulsa	W45-7	-10.0	10	34	3.4	1	1	6	0	0.04
8	@UAB	L24-31	-15.8	5	26	5.2	0	1	5	0	0.48
9	vsSouth Florida	W34-31	11.6	10	35	3.5	0	1	5	0	—
10	@Rice	W38-14	-14.8	2	0	0.0	0	2	11	0	-1.43
11	vsTulane	L32-38	6.3	2	20	10.0	0	2	12	0	0.30
12	@East Carolina	L27-31	8.0	7	109	15.6	1	2	6	0	-0.14
14	vsNavy	L17-28	6.2	6	25	4.2	0	3	12	0	0.01

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

15.2%

Passing plays

5.3%

Rushing plays

25.1%

Standard downs

18.4%

Passing downs

8.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.09
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.06 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).