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Tyler Badie

#1Tyler Badie

Line value
3.3 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

Tyler Badie is a Featured Back for Missouri. Tyler's 2021 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 313 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2021 Production

Rushing
1604 Rush yards14 Rush TD268 Carries6.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
54 Receptions330 Rec yards4 Rec TD6.1 Yards/rec
Returns
1 Kick returns5 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency57th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.30 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.89 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs North Texas (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State20162880.3403.997.9
Donnel PumphreySan Diego State20163440.3204.2110.1
Dalvin CookFlorida State20162920.3404.399.3
Breece HallIowa State20203010.3404.5102.3
Eno BenjaminArizona State20183160.3304.6104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Central Michigan: +0.31 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Kentucky: +0.30 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Southeast Missouri State: +0.88 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Boston College: -0.03 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Tennessee: -0.07 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs North Texas: +0.89 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Texas A&M: -0.20 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Vanderbilt: +0.27 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Georgia: -0.01 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs South Carolina: +0.26 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Florida: +0.01 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Arkansas: +0.15 EPA/play13
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsCentral MichiganW34-24-1.0252038.1134010.31
2@KentuckyL28-3513.414614.40108810.30
3vsSoutheast Missouri StateW59-289819.0221410.88
4@Boston CollegeL34-410.918724.025340-0.03
5vsTennesseeL24-6217.521412.013270-0.07
6vsNorth TexasW48-35-6.51720912.322910.89
7vsTexas A&ML14-3521.122683.117530-0.20
9@VanderbiltW37-28-19.4312548.2284000.27
10@GeorgiaL6-4332.09414.605100-0.01
11vsSouth CarolinaW31-283.9342096.1152200.26
12vsFloridaW24-2311.0271465.413-200.01
13@ArkansasL17-3413.8412195.311-500.15

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
39.4%
Passing plays
14.6%
Rushing plays
66.3%
Standard downs
46.0%
Passing downs
26.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.14
Passing downs
0.43
Pass / Rush EPA
0.20 / 0.20

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2021 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.