UCF Knights
Big 12··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1448
#79
SP+
-1.2
#76
O98/D51
FPI
-0.8
SRS
-0.8
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play5.0 – 6.0
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
5.0
of 11 games
Bowl odds
36%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
88%
vs Georgia State
Toughest
24%
vs BYU
💬UCF Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
378.9#76
Yards / play
5.8#64
Passing yards / game
220.8#75
Rushing yards / game
158.2#67
First downs / game
18.2#109
3rd down %
33.9%#117
4th down %
55.6%#61
Time of possession
29:55#68
Defense
Yards allowed / game
336.3#37
Yards / play allowed
5.1#34
Pass yards allowed / game
185.1#22
Rush yards allowed / game
151.2#72
3rd down % allowed
36.7%#47
Sacks
25#69
Tackles for loss
67#71
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-4#98
Takeaways
14#89
Giveaways
18#86
Penalties / game
7.6#125
Penalty yards / game
57.2#86
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
13
Avg stars
3.15
Avg rating
0.8717
2 4★11 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyren Hornes#170 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.9302 | Sarasota, FL |
| Rocco Marriott#338 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.9020 | Platte City, MO |
| Dante Carr#603 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8833 | Minersville, PA |
| Kane Archer#667 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8778 | Greenwood, AR |
| Elijah Keys#1158 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Neptune Beach, FL |
| Kasiyah Charlton#1320 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Brunswick, GA |
| Amahn Williams#1320 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Marion, MA |
| Matthew Occhipinti#1422 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | Ramsey, NJ |
| Arthur Lewis IV#1465 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8611 | Jacksonville, FL |
| Noah Mercer#1687 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8567 | Key West, FL |
| Amarion Queen#1687 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8567 | Stuart, FL |
| Ja'Cari Jackson#1722 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8556 | Orlando, FL |
| Brooks Hall#1924 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Platte City, MO |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-7 | 2-7 | 42% | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 2-7 | 33% | 7.4 | -3.4 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 3-6 | 46% | 9.3 | -3.3 |
| 2022 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 64% | 8.6 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 69% | 7.3 | +1.7 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 5-3 | 60% | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 77% | 9.6 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 12-1 | 9-0 | 92% | 10.8 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 13-0 | 9-0 | 100% | 11.1 | +1.9 |
| 2016 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 46% | 6.7 | -0.7 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).