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Texas Tech Red Raiders

Big 12··0-0
0 followers
Elo
2056
#6
SP+
27.6
#3
O7/D3
FPI
21.5
SRS
22.3
AP
#4

2026 Season Projection

model win prob · 11 to play
10.50.5
projected final record (now 00)
Exp. wins left
10.5
of 11 games
Bowl odds
100%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
100%
vs Sam Houston
Toughest
90%
vs Arizona

Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank

Offense
Total yards / game
461.6#10
Yards / play
6.3#26
Passing yards / game
277.6#17
Rushing yards / game
184.0#31
First downs / game
22.7#21
3rd down %
49.3%#12
4th down %
50.0%#91
Time of possession
30:10#60
Defense
Yards allowed / game
258.0#3
Yards / play allowed
3.9#1
Pass yards allowed / game
187.9#24
Rush yards allowed / game
70.1#1
3rd down % allowed
30.1%#7
Sacks
41#6
Tackles for loss
106#4
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+14#4
Takeaways
32#1
Giveaways
18#86
Penalties / game
6.8#97
Penalty yards / game
55.7#76

Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.

Advanced analytics

Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.

2026 Recruiting Class

Commits
15
Avg stars
3.67
Avg rating
0.9029
2 56 47 3
RecruitPosStarsRtg
Felix Ojo#13 nat'lOT★★★★★0.9909
LaDamion Guyton#15 nat'lEDGE★★★★★0.9904
Chase Campbell#94 nat'lWR★★★★0.9576
Bryce Gilmore#184 nat'lOT★★★★0.9273
Matt Ludwig#242 nat'lTE★★★★0.9155
Ashton Rowden#346 nat'lRB★★★★0.9008
S'Vioarean Martin#370 nat'lCB★★★★0.8986
Donovan Webb#450 nat'lS★★★★0.8911
Kaegan Ash#493 nat'lATH★★★★★0.8882
Cord Nolan#1131 nat'lLB★★★★★0.8689
Luke Hamilton#1320 nat'lCB★★★★★0.8644
Imari Jehiel#1320 nat'lWR★★★★★0.8644
Maddox Quiller#1320 nat'lS★★★★★0.8644
Demarcus Marks#1196 nat'lEDGE★★★★★0.8619
Noah Lewis#1615 nat'lCB★★★★★0.8589

Program History

recent seasons
YearOverallConfWin %xWLuck
202512-28-1
86%
12.0+0.0
20248-56-3
62%
6.0+2.0
20237-65-4
54%
6.0+1.0
20228-55-4
62%
6.4+1.6
20217-63-6
54%
7.0-0.0
20204-63-6
40%
3.7+0.3
20194-82-7
33%
6.5-2.5
20185-73-6
42%
4.8+0.2
20176-73-6
46%
5.3+0.7
20165-73-6
42%
5.4-0.4

xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).

✓/✗ = whether our pregame model picked the winner. Win % & projections from the Gridpex model. Data: CollegeFootballData.