Toledo Rockets
Mid-American··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1646
#37
SP+
6.0
#48
O75/D21
FPI
4.3
SRS
6.2
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to play8.1 – 1.9
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
8.1
of 10 games
Bowl odds
98%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
100%
vs Massachusetts
Toughest
50%
vs Ohio
💬Toledo Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
415.8#34
Yards / play
6.2#27
Passing yards / game
238.1#57
Rushing yards / game
177.7#41
First downs / game
21.2#53
3rd down %
40.2%#64
4th down %
23.5%#135
Time of possession
30:26#51
Defense
Yards allowed / game
255.5#2
Yards / play allowed
4.1#3
Pass yards allowed / game
156.2#4
Rush yards allowed / game
99.2#9
3rd down % allowed
29.0%#5
Sacks
37#12
Tackles for loss
92#11
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+6#27
Takeaways
21#26
Giveaways
15#48
Penalties / game
8.5#135
Penalty yards / game
74.6#135
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1@
Michigan StateSat-7.170%Wk 2vsCentral ConnecticutSatWk 3vs
TempleSat-19.593%Wk 4vs
San Diego StateSat-7.170%Wk 5@
Ball StateSat-23.096%Wk 6vs
BuffaloSat-16.389%Wk 7@
Eastern MichiganSat-13.985%Wk 8vs
Western MichiganSat-6.468%Wk 10@
Sacramento StateWedWk 11vs
MassachusettsWed-39.5100%Wk 12vs
Bowling GreenSat-17.891%Wk 13@
OhioFri-0.150%
Michigan StateSat-7.170%Wk 2vsCentral ConnecticutSatWk 3vsTempleSat-19.593%Wk 4vsSan Diego StateSat-7.170%Wk 5@Ball StateSat-23.096%Wk 6vsBuffaloSat-16.389%Wk 7@Eastern MichiganSat-13.985%Wk 8vsWestern MichiganSat-6.468%Wk 10@Sacramento StateWedWk 11vsMassachusettsWed-39.5100%Wk 12vsBowling GreenSat-17.891%Wk 13@OhioFri-0.150%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
13
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8464
13 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell O'Neal#1500 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Cleveland, OH |
| Seth Elchert#1615 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Findlay, OH |
| Rodarion Tellez#1722 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8556 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| Grant Blascak#1750 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8550 | Stow, OH |
| Preston Dazey#1750 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8550 | Massillon, OH |
| Jake Palucki#1750 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8550 | Bolingbrook, IL |
| BJ Stovall#2176 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Detroit, MI |
| Mateo Kipke#2313 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Dexter, MI |
| Nathan Gersh#2313 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Dexter, MI |
| Tyrique Harris#2313 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Clearwater, FL |
| Martece Smith#2524 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Hammond, IN |
| Ziiyahn Blair#2524 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Akron, OH |
| Hunter Probst#2804 nat'l | P | ★★★★★ | 0.8283 | Rohnert Park, CA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 62% | 9.2 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 6.2 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 11-3 | 8-1 | 79% | 10.7 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 64% | 10.1 | -1.1 |
| 2021 | 7-6 | 5-3 | 54% | 8.0 | -1.0 |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 67% | 4.0 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 6-6 | 3-5 | 50% | 5.8 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 5-3 | 54% | 7.0 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 11-3 | 8-1 | 79% | 9.8 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 10.2 | -1.2 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).