South Florida Bulls
American Athletic··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1774
#23
SP+
11.6
#29
O12/D62
FPI
11.1
SRS
12.6
AP
#25
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play9.1 – 1.9
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
9.1
of 11 games
Bowl odds
100%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
99%
vs Kent State
Toughest
55%
vs UTSA
💬South Florida Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
487.8#3
Yards / play
7.0#6
Passing yards / game
275.6#18
Rushing yards / game
212.2#13
First downs / game
23.8#10
3rd down %
46.4%#21
4th down %
61.9%#29
Time of possession
25:24#135
Defense
Yards allowed / game
384.9#80
Yards / play allowed
5.1#35
Pass yards allowed / game
242.0#112
Rush yards allowed / game
142.9#56
3rd down % allowed
40.0%#78
Sacks
33#27
Tackles for loss
84#22
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+5#35
Takeaways
25#9
Giveaways
20#104
Penalties / game
6.6#90
Penalty yards / game
61.0#102
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1vs
Florida InternationalSat-20.493%Wk 2@
ArmySat-5.064%Wk 3vsDelaware StateSatWk 4@
Bowling GreenSat-18.291%Wk 5vs
TempleSat-24.697%Wk 6@
UTSAThu-1.855%Wk 7vs
Kent StateSat-33.399%Wk 9vs
UABSat-26.097%Wk 10@
East CarolinaSat-4.864%Wk 11vs
MemphisFri-11.881%Wk 12@
Florida AtlanticSat-21.494%Wk 13vs
TulaneFri-10.077%
Florida InternationalSat-20.493%Wk 2@ArmySat-5.064%Wk 3vsDelaware StateSatWk 4@Bowling GreenSat-18.291%Wk 5vsTempleSat-24.697%Wk 6@UTSAThu-1.855%Wk 7vsKent StateSat-33.399%Wk 9vsUABSat-26.097%Wk 10@East CarolinaSat-4.864%Wk 11vsMemphisFri-11.881%Wk 12@Florida AtlanticSat-21.494%Wk 13vsTulaneFri-10.077%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
14
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8543
14 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iverson Garcia-Ponce#1274 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8656 | Powell, TN |
| Ellis Alloway#1090 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8650 | Fort Walton Beach, FL |
| Dmari Roberts#1465 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8611 | St. Petersburg, FL |
| Jayson Franklin#1245 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Fayetteville, NC |
| CJ Cresser#1500 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Lakeland, FL |
| Masiyah Limehouse#1615 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Plant City, FL |
| Lorenzo Barnes#1615 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Havana, FL |
| Demetrius Geathers Jr.#1722 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8556 | Boca Raton, FL |
| Ja'Kyri Watson#1838 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8533 | Kissimmee, FL |
| Derrick Nichols III#1838 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8533 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| Jordan Harrison#1524 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8528 | Washington, DC |
| Peter Ramil#1871 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Alabaster, AL |
| Gabe Legrand#2313 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Lake Wales, FL |
| Gaston Gramatica#2842 nat'l | K | ★★★★★ | 0.8233 | Tampa, FL |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 9.1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 6.8 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 6.8 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 8% | 3.4 | -2.4 |
| 2021 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 17% | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 2020 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 11% | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 33% | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 3-5 | 54% | 5.3 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 10-2 | 6-2 | 83% | 10.1 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 11-2 | 7-1 | 85% | 9.7 | +1.3 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).