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2024 · The Scout · Quarterbacks

Quinn Ewers jumps 27 spots once you weigh who he faced

A raw quarterback leaderboard rewards easy schedules — sort out who actually played tough defenses, and the order changes a lot.

The Scout
Players & projections ·
3 min read

The biggest mover on the quarterback leaderboard is Texas's Quinn Ewers. Sort the passers by raw numbers and he sits 35th. But once you give him credit for the caliber of defenses he actually went up against, he climbs all the way to 8th — a 27-spot jump, the largest of anyone. That gap tells you the raw list was selling him short. The bare numbers don't show that Ewers was throwing into far stingier defenses than most of the names ahead of him.

35th → 8th
Where Ewers ranks
raw list vs. after weighing his schedule
+27
Spots gained
the biggest jump in the country
40
Quarterbacks compared
passers who qualified
2024
Season
weighed for strength of schedule
QuarterbackRaw rankAfter weighing scheduleClimb
Quinn Ewers (Texas)35th8th+27
Maalik Murphy (Duke)37th26th+11
Tyler Shough (Louisville)16th6th+10
Jalen Milroe (Alabama)24th14th+10
Diego Pavia (Vanderbilt)38th28th+10
Biggest risers once you account for who they played, 2024.
QuarterbackRaw rankAfter weighing scheduleFall
Parker Navarro (Ohio)10th32nd−22
Devon Dampier (New Mexico)26th39th−13
John Mateer (Washington State)11th23rd−12
CJ Bailey (NC State)18th29th−11
Biggest fallers — gaudy numbers built against softer defenses.

The adjustment cuts both ways — some passers rise, others sink. Ewers' 27-spot climb is the biggest, but he isn't alone. Tyler Shough moves up 10 spots to 6th, and Jalen Milroe jumps 10 spots to 14th. Going the other direction, Parker Navarro and Devon Dampier slide hard once their soft slates are taken into account, with Navarro tumbling 22 spots to 32nd. That's the difference between looking like a clear favorite and looking like an underdog — a real change in how good you thought the guy was.

  • Quinn Ewers jumps 27 spots, to 8th
  • Tyler Shough rises 10 spots, to 6th
  • Parker Navarro falls 22 spots, to 32nd

A fair word of caution: leaning too hard on schedule can swing too far the other way and shortchange a quarterback who genuinely lit up the lesser teams he was handed. And one season is one season — a single year doesn't always tell you everything about a passer. Still, weighing the competition gives you a truer read on who actually played well, and that matters when Heisman votes, draft boards, and transfer-portal pursuits are on the line.

Weigh who they faced, and you get a far truer picture of how good these quarterbacks really were.

The Analytics Desk

The takeaway is simple: scouts, coaches and fans should think twice before judging a quarterback on raw stats alone. Factor in the defenses he had to beat, and you get a fuller, fairer sense of what he can do — and you make better calls because of it. With Heisman races, draft stock and portal recruiting all riding on these reads, getting the evaluation right has never mattered more.

Gridpex's desks are model-driven, AI-assisted columns. Every figure is generated from our own data and ratings — not invented. We don't fabricate reporters, quotes, or sources. Published Thu, Jan 23, 2025 · groq:llama-3.3-70b-versatile+dejargon.

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