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Aaron Anderson

#1Aaron Anderson

WR·LSU·2025

Aaron Anderson is a Versatile WR for LSU. Aaron's 2025 season produced 31.4 total EPA across 46 plays.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

8%
projected
band 5%'25 10%12%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving
33 Receptions398 Rec yards0 Rec TD12.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.99 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Vanderbilt (SP+ 20).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Clemson: +0.89 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.77 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Florida: +0.46 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs SE Louisiana: +0.88 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Ole Miss: -0.01 EPA/play5Wk 8 vs Vanderbilt: +1.99 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Texas A&M: +0.64 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Alabama: +0.67 EPA/play11
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@ClemsonW17-109.569916.50390.89
2vsLouisiana TechW23-7-1.38739.10230.77
3vsFloridaW20-103.547518.80310.46
4vsSE LouisianaW56-1034615.30250.88
5@Ole MissL19-2424.02126.007-0.01
8@VanderbiltL24-3120.311818.00181.99
9vsTexas A&ML25-4920.755911.80220.64
11@AlabamaL9-2014.84164.0090.67

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
9.5%
Passing plays
15.8%
Rushing plays
0.5%
Standard downs
8.2%
Passing downs
11.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.45
Passing downs
0.96
Pass / Rush EPA
0.70 / -0.31

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.