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Aidan Chiles

#2Aidan Chiles

Aidan Chiles is a Dual-Threat QB for Michigan State. Aidan's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 388 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
192/324 Comp/Att2415 Pass yards13 Pass TD12 INT59.3% Comp %
Rushing
234 Rush yards3 Rush TD96 Carries2.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency73th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.12 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 0.72 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Prairie View A&M.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Florida Atlantic: -0.19 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Maryland: +0.46 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Prairie View A&M: +0.72 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Boston College: +0.28 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Ohio State: -0.17 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Oregon: +0.26 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Iowa: +0.42 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Michigan: +0.25 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Indiana: +0.27 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Illinois: +0.29 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Purdue: +0.66 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Rutgers: +0.20 EPA/play14
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsFlorida AtlanticW16-10-12.710/241140230.7281-0.19
2@MarylandW27-24-3.924/393633370.61100.46
3vsPrairie View A&MW40-012/191731091.9810.72
4@Boston CollegeL19-231.217/352410353.05710.28
5vsOhio StateL7-3831.213/191671136.1-90-0.17
6@OregonL10-3126.010/171540048.32900.26
8vsIowaW32-2015.822/302561181.35100.42
9@MichiganL17-2410.617/231891072.4600.25
10vsIndianaL10-4720.116/241931248.0-200.27
12@IllinoisL16-389.623/402562072.24000.29
13vsPurdueW24-17-16.215/311592044.22600.66
14vsRutgersL14-416.413/231501028.3-1100.20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
54.1%
Passing plays
87.3%
Rushing plays
19.4%
Standard downs
48.1%
Passing downs
66.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.27
Passing downs
0.32
Pass / Rush EPA
0.29 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.