#9Anthony Smith
Anthony Smith is a Versatile WR for East Carolina. Anthony's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 80 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.31 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 2.06 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Army (SP+ 1).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NC State | L17-24 | 4.8 | 6 | 66 | 11.0 | 0 | 18 | 0.45 |
| 2 | vsCampbell | W56-3 | — | 6 | 39 | 6.5 | 0 | 9 | 0.11 |
| 3 | @Coastal Carolina | W38-0 | -15.1 | 11 | 136 | 12.4 | 0 | 31 | 0.55 |
| 4 | vsBYU | L13-34 | 15.9 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 15 | -0.38 |
| 5 | vsArmy | W28-6 | 0.8 | 3 | 87 | 29.0 | 1 | 41 | 2.06 |
| 7 | @Tulane | L19-26 | 6.3 | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 0 | 49 | -0.24 |
| 8 | vsTulsa | W41-27 | -10.0 | 4 | 150 | 37.5 | 2 | 66 | 1.88 |
| 10 | @Temple | W45-14 | -5.1 | 2 | 58 | 29.0 | 0 | 35 | 1.13 |
| 11 | vsCharlotte | W48-22 | -26.7 | 8 | 69 | 8.6 | 1 | 14 | 0.30 |
| 12 | vsMemphis | W31-27 | 7.6 | 7 | 62 | 8.9 | 0 | 18 | 0.59 |
| 13 | @UTSA | L24-58 | 3.7 | 8 | 143 | 17.9 | 1 | 50 | 0.74 |
| 14 | @Florida Atlantic | W42-3 | -8.7 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | 0.04 |
| 1 | vsPittsburgh | W23-17 | 8.4 | 4 | 156 | 39.0 | 2 | 72 | 1.62 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.50
- Passing downs
- 0.81
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.58 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).