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Austin Williams

#85Austin Williams

Austin Williams is a Versatile WR for Mississippi State. Austin's 2021 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 51 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2021 Production

Receiving
52 Receptions617 Rec yards4 Rec TD11.9 Yards/rec
Returns
6 Punt returns21 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.28 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.87 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Tennessee State.

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.73 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Memphis: +0.08 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs LSU: +1.70 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Texas A&M: +1.00 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Alabama: +0.15 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Vanderbilt: +0.76 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Kentucky: +0.45 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Arkansas: +1.63 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Auburn: +1.12 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Tennessee State: +1.87 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Ole Miss: -0.01 EPA/play13Wk 1 vs Texas Tech: +1.05 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsLouisiana TechW35-34-11.655711.40300.73
2vsNC StateW24-1016.134816.0034
3@MemphisL29-311.06447.30120.08
4vsLSUL25-284.166210.31221.70
5@Texas A&MW26-2221.14389.50141.00
7vsAlabamaL9-4926.02178.5090.15
8@VanderbiltW45-6-19.433010.00140.76
9vsKentuckyW31-1713.44328.00130.45
10@ArkansasL28-3113.847218.00281.63
11@AuburnW43-3411.044411.00171.12
12vsTennessee StateW55-1047518.83301.87
13vsOle MissL21-3114.822412.0020-0.01
1vsTexas TechL7-349.857414.80281.05

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.2%
Passing plays
8.2%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
6.3%
Passing downs
5.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.62
Passing downs
1.55
Pass / Rush EPA
0.85 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.