#17Carnell Tate

WR·Ohio State·2025

Carnell Tate is a Versatile WR for Ohio State. Carnell's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 64 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

projected

band 5%'25 10%12%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving

51 Receptions875 Rec yards9 Rec TD17.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.34 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 2.13 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Texas (SP+ 16).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsTexas	W14-7	16.2	2	49	24.5	1	40	2.13
2	vsGrambling	W70-0	—	5	69	13.8	1	40	1.27
3	vsOhio	W37-9	-4.0	5	101	20.2	1	49	1.59
5	@Washington	W24-6	18.4	3	33	11.0	0	11	0.66
6	vsMinnesota	W42-3	1.5	9	183	20.3	1	49	1.29
7	@Illinois	W34-16	12.9	4	41	10.3	0	11	0.33
8	@Wisconsin	W34-0	-4.4	6	111	18.5	2	33	1.78
10	vsPenn State	W38-14	18.1	5	124	24.8	1	57	0.94
14	@Michigan	W27-9	12.4	5	82	16.4	1	50	1.14
15	vsIndiana	L10-13	32.4	4	45	11.3	1	20	1.55
1	vsMiami	L14-24	20.7	3	37	12.3	0	15	-0.17

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.6%

Passing plays

19.0%

Rushing plays

0.6%

Standard downs

9.0%

Passing downs

11.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.85
Passing downs: 1.66
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.07 / 0.67

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).