Carsen Ryan is a Versatile TE for BYU. Carsen's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 50 plays — a elite rate for the TE.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.40 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.07 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Portland State.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsPortland State | W69-0 | — | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 1 | 25 | 2.07 |
| 2 | vsStanford | W27-3 | -11.8 | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 0 | 25 | 0.66 |
| 4 | @East Carolina | W34-13 | 8.0 | 4 | 63 | 15.8 | 1 | 24 | 0.83 |
| 5 | @Colorado | W24-21 | -8.3 | 3 | 46 | 15.3 | 0 | 28 | 0.99 |
| 6 | vsWest Virginia | W38-24 | -6.8 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 14 | 0.01 |
| 8 | vsUtah | W24-21 | 22.2 | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 0 | 26 | 0.24 |
| 9 | @Iowa State | W41-27 | 9.9 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 11 | @Texas Tech | L7-29 | 27.6 | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | 0 | 15 | 0.71 |
| 12 | vsTCU | W44-13 | 8.3 | 4 | 79 | 19.8 | 1 | 43 | 0.24 |
| 13 | @Cincinnati | W26-14 | 4.5 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 11 | -0.28 |
| 14 | vsUCF | W41-21 | -1.2 | 5 | 85 | 17.0 | 0 | 26 | 1.19 |
| 15 | vsTexas Tech | L7-34 | 27.6 | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 0 | 22 | -0.10 |
| 1 | vsGeorgia Tech | W25-21 | 9.3 | 8 | 120 | 15.0 | 0 | 35 | 0.67 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.63
- Passing downs
- 0.61
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.62 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).