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Carson Beck

#11Carson Beck

Line value
6.8 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 3 (Rds 4–7)· model estimate based on position rank

Carson Beck is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Georgia. Carson's 2024 season ranks in the 33th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 496 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
290/448 Comp/Att3485 Pass yards28 Pass TD12 INT64.7% Comp %
Rushing
71 Rush yards1 Rush TD55 Carries1.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)33th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.23 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.72 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Tennessee Tech.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Jordan TravisFlorida State20216900.47610.1328.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Clemson: +0.52 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Tennessee Tech: +0.72 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Kentucky: +0.28 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Alabama: +0.25 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Auburn: +0.52 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Mississippi State: +0.56 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Texas: -0.11 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Florida: +0.20 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Ole Miss: -0.20 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Tennessee: +0.69 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Massachusetts: +0.42 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Georgia Tech: +0.44 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Texas: -0.06 EPA/play15
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsClemsonW34-313.323/332782091.71900.52
2vsTennessee TechW48-318/252425083.01800.72
3@KentuckyW13-125.515/241600069.81800.28
5@AlabamaL34-4125.027/504393370.1900.25
6vsAuburnW31-139.523/292402089.2-1500.52
7vsMississippi StateW41-31-4.136/484593275.1800.56
8@TexasW30-1524.123/411750364.380-0.11
10vsFloridaW34-2013.825/403092361.0-600.20
11@Ole MissL10-2827.920/311860155.9-200-0.20
12vsTennesseeW31-1722.025/403472098.03210.69
13vsMassachusettsW59-21-21.920/312974090.7500.42
14vsGeorgia TechW44-421.928/432975082.21000.44
15vsTexasW22-1924.17/13560059.4-150-0.06

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
57.0%
Passing plays
92.9%
Rushing plays
11.9%
Standard downs
50.9%
Passing downs
72.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.22
Passing downs
0.54
Pass / Rush EPA
0.35 / 0.13

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024
2023 — 2024 · 27 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2023Georgia
10.6
0.605283.3
2024Georgia
6.8
0.448-0.16225.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.