Chandler Morris is a Dual-Threat QB for Virginia. Chandler's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 432 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.20 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.78 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Stanford (SP+ -12).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCoastal Carolina | W48-7 | -15.1 | 19/27 | 264 | 2 | 0 | 67.3 | 50 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 2 | @NC State | L31-35 | 4.8 | 30/43 | 257 | 1 | 1 | 80.6 | 56 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 3 | vsWilliam & Mary | W55-16 | — | 13/19 | 149 | 1 | 0 | 34.4 | 7 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 4 | vsStanford | W48-20 | -11.8 | 23/31 | 380 | 4 | 0 | 96.2 | 19 | 1 | 0.78 |
| 5 | vsFlorida State | W46-38 | 7.2 | 26/35 | 229 | 2 | 3 | 92.6 | 37 | 3 | 0.57 |
| 6 | @Louisville | W30-27 | 12.4 | 19/31 | 149 | 1 | 0 | 50.2 | 7 | 0 | -0.14 |
| 8 | vsWashington State | W22-20 | 3.8 | 15/25 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 35.8 | 15 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 9 | @North Carolina | W17-16 | -6.6 | 20/35 | 200 | 1 | 1 | 14.6 | -21 | 0 | — |
| 10 | @California | W31-21 | -3.2 | 24/36 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 73.2 | 38 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 11 | vsWake Forest | L9-16 | 5.7 | 3/6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 23.3 | 6 | 0 | -0.04 |
| 12 | @Duke | W34-17 | 6.6 | 23/35 | 316 | 2 | 2 | 84.7 | 9 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 14 | vsVirginia Tech | W27-7 | -10.1 | 21/35 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 75.2 | 25 | 1 | 0.20 |
| 15 | vsDuke | L20-27 | 6.6 | 21/40 | 216 | 2 | 2 | 28.6 | -3 | 0 | 0.03 |
| 1 | vsMissouri | W13-7 | 14.4 | 25/38 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 78.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.12
- Passing downs
- 0.59
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.30 / 0.58
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.