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Chase Hendricks

#7Chase Hendricks

WR·Ohio·2025

Chase Hendricks is a Slot Specialist WR for Ohio. Chase's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 100 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

10%
projected
band 7%'25 14%14%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving
71 Receptions1037 Rec yards7 Rec TD14.6 Yards/rec
Returns
8 Punt returns143 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.28 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.47 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs UNLV (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Rutgers: +0.90 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs West Virginia: +1.12 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Ohio State: +1.18 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Gardner-Webb: +0.74 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Bowling Green: +0.08 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Ball State: +0.49 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Northern Illinois: +0.47 EPA/play8Wk 11 vs Miami (OH): +0.13 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Western Michigan: -0.38 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Buffalo: +0.67 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs UNLV: +1.47 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@RutgersL31-341.0911512.80260.90
2vsWest VirginiaW17-10-6.8812115.11381.12
3@Ohio StateL9-3730.137625.31671.18
4vsGardner-WebbW52-35814418.01430.74
5vsBowling GreenW35-20-12.612525.01250.08
6@Ball StateL14-20-23.0810413.00370.49
8vsNorthern IllinoisW48-21-16.71010810.80300.47
9@Eastern MichiganW28-21-14.71011211.2228
11vsMiami (OH)W24-20-3.434013.30180.13
12@Western MichiganL13-17-1.42136.509-0.38
14@BuffaloW31-26-7.559218.41410.67
1vsUNLVW17-104.348721.80421.47

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
13.5%
Passing plays
34.1%
Rushing plays
0.2%
Standard downs
11.5%
Passing downs
18.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.62
Passing downs
0.72
Pass / Rush EPA
0.67 / -0.43

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.