Chase Roberts is a Versatile WR for BYU. Chase's 2025 season ranks in the 88th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 82 plays — a above-average rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (88th percentile).
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.48 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.19 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs West Virginia (SP+ -7).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Abey | Navy | 2016 | 70 | 0.370 | 0.8 | 25.9 |
| Eli Heidenreich | Navy | 2024 | 66 | 0.340 | 0.7 | 22.4 |
| Micah Davis | Air Force | 2021 | 44 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 16.3 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Virginia | 2021 | 41 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 15.2 |
| JoJo Natson | Utah State | 2014 | 51 | 0.390 | 1.0 | 19.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsPortland State | W69-0 | — | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | 0.45 |
| 2 | vsStanford | W27-3 | -11.8 | 5 | 84 | 16.8 | 0 | 41 | 0.77 |
| 4 | @East Carolina | W34-13 | 8.0 | 5 | 97 | 19.4 | 0 | 40 | 0.61 |
| 5 | @Colorado | W24-21 | -8.3 | 5 | 49 | 9.8 | 2 | 16 | 0.71 |
| 6 | vsWest Virginia | W38-24 | -6.8 | 4 | 161 | 40.3 | 0 | 85 | 2.19 |
| 7 | @Arizona | W33-27 | 12.0 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 17 | -0.10 |
| 8 | vsUtah | W24-21 | 22.2 | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | 26 | -0.72 |
| 9 | @Iowa State | W41-27 | 9.9 | 8 | 128 | 16.0 | 0 | 45 | — |
| 11 | @Texas Tech | L7-29 | 27.6 | 6 | 61 | 10.2 | 1 | 14 | 0.37 |
| 12 | vsTCU | W44-13 | 8.3 | 5 | 50 | 10.0 | 0 | 13 | 0.38 |
| 13 | @Cincinnati | W26-14 | 4.5 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | -0.28 |
| 15 | vsTexas Tech | L7-34 | 27.6 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 18 | 0.79 |
| 1 | vsGeorgia Tech | W25-21 | 9.3 | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | 1 | 18 | 0.18 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.40
- Passing downs
- 0.42
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.41 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).