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Chase Sowell

#0Chase Sowell

Chase Sowell is a Slot Specialist WR for Iowa State. Chase's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 53 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

8%
projected
band 4%'25 9%12%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving
32 Receptions500 Rec yards2 Rec TD15.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency61th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.37 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 3.24 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Kansas (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 2 vs Iowa: +0.25 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Arkansas State: +0.14 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Arizona: +1.80 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Cincinnati: +1.04 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Colorado: -0.07 EPA/play7Wk 10 vs Arizona State: -0.14 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs TCU: +0.16 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Kansas: +3.24 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Oklahoma State: +0.76 EPA/play14
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
2vsIowaW16-1319.72178.50100.25
3@Arkansas StateW24-16-8.82157.50110.14
5vsArizonaW39-1412.0414636.50521.80
6@CincinnatiL30-384.555811.61311.04
7@ColoradoL17-24-8.322512.5016-0.07
9vsBYUL27-4115.9199.009
10vsArizona StateL19-243.968514.2035-0.14
11@TCUW20-178.34317.80120.16
13vsKansasW38-144.126030.00363.24
14@Oklahoma StateW20-13-15.145413.51200.76

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
8.6%
Passing plays
19.9%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
6.1%
Passing downs
14.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.53
Passing downs
0.57
Pass / Rush EPA
0.55 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.