#0Chris Bell
Chris Bell is a Versatile WR for Louisville. Chris's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 97 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.43 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.34 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Virginia (SP+ 11).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsEastern Kentucky | W51-17 | — | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | 0 | 16 | 0.41 |
| 2 | vsJames Madison | W28-14 | 12.3 | 4 | 83 | 20.8 | 1 | 64 | 0.24 |
| 4 | vsBowling Green | W40-17 | -12.6 | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | 0 | 20 | 0.56 |
| 5 | @Pittsburgh | W34-27 | 8.4 | 10 | 135 | 13.5 | 1 | 25 | 0.70 |
| 6 | vsVirginia | L27-30 | 11.1 | 12 | 170 | 14.2 | 2 | 28 | 1.34 |
| 8 | @Miami | W24-21 | 20.7 | 9 | 136 | 15.1 | 2 | 36 | 0.92 |
| 9 | vsBoston College | W38-24 | -8.5 | 4 | 49 | 12.3 | 0 | 17 | — |
| 10 | @Virginia Tech | W28-16 | -10.1 | 8 | 56 | 7.0 | 0 | 13 | 0.37 |
| 11 | vsCalifornia | L26-29 | -3.2 | 6 | 49 | 8.2 | 0 | 13 | -0.05 |
| 12 | vsClemson | L19-20 | 9.5 | 5 | 79 | 15.8 | 0 | 37 | 0.47 |
| 13 | @SMU | L6-38 | 13.4 | 5 | 46 | 9.2 | 0 | 26 | 0.09 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.61
- Passing downs
- 0.50
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.57 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).