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Chris Johnson Jr.

#6Chris Johnson Jr.

RB·SMU·2025

Chris Johnson Jr. is a Pass-Catching Back for SMU. Chris's 2025 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 78 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

13%
projected
band 6%'25 11%20%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing
479 Rush yards4 Rush TD67 Carries7.1 Yards/carry
Receiving
17 Receptions180 Rec yards1 Rec TD10.6 Yards/rec
Returns
4 Kick returns64 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)15th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency27th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.58 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.26 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Stanford (SP+ -12).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs East Texas A&M: +0.40 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Baylor: +0.13 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Missouri State: +0.39 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs TCU: +0.29 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Syracuse: -0.17 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Stanford: +1.26 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Clemson: +0.61 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Miami: -0.69 EPA/play10Wk 13 vs Louisville: -0.00 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs California: +0.04 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Arizona: -0.11 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsEast Texas A&MW42-136447.310.40
2vsBaylorL45-481.46213.5023100.13
3@Missouri StateW28-10-10.76467.7013000.39
4@TCUL24-358.35193.8022100.29
6vsSyracuseW31-18-13.11-20-0.17
7vsStanfordW34-10-11.859619.2124211.26
8@ClemsonW35-249.56599.8144000.61
9@Wake ForestL12-135.78293.60110
10vsMiamiW26-2020.7420.50100-0.69
11@Boston CollegeW45-13-8.5
13vsLouisvilleW38-612.46193.201100-0.00
14@CaliforniaL35-38-3.21012812.811300.04
1vsArizonaW24-1912.05163.20140-0.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.8%
Passing plays
4.8%
Rushing plays
18.4%
Standard downs
10.9%
Passing downs
10.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.16
Passing downs
0.52
Pass / Rush EPA
0.47 / 0.20

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.