CJ Williams is a Slot Specialist WR for Stanford. CJ's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 84 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 1.30 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs SMU (SP+ 13).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Hawai'i | L20-23 | 1.7 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | 0 | 16 | 0.59 |
| 2 | @BYU | L3-27 | 15.9 | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | 13 | 0.38 |
| 3 | vsBoston College | W30-20 | -8.5 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | -0.50 |
| 4 | @Virginia | L20-48 | 11.1 | 9 | 103 | 11.4 | 0 | 29 | 0.54 |
| 5 | vsSan José State | W30-29 | -14.3 | 12 | 138 | 11.5 | 0 | 24 | 0.38 |
| 7 | @SMU | L10-34 | 13.4 | 7 | 109 | 15.6 | 1 | 36 | 1.30 |
| 8 | vsFlorida State | W20-13 | 7.2 | 4 | 61 | 15.3 | 1 | 28 | 1.29 |
| 9 | @Miami | L7-42 | 20.7 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | — |
| 10 | vsPittsburgh | L20-35 | 8.4 | 7 | 122 | 17.4 | 2 | 35 | 0.77 |
| 11 | @North Carolina | L15-20 | -6.6 | 6 | 61 | 10.2 | 1 | 24 | 0.64 |
| 13 | vsCalifornia | W31-10 | -3.2 | 5 | 76 | 15.2 | 1 | 34 | 0.15 |
| 14 | vsNotre Dame | L20-49 | 24.4 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | 0.13 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.63
- Passing downs
- 0.53
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.58 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).