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Donaven McCulley

#1Donaven McCulley

Donaven McCulley is a Slot Specialist WR for Michigan. Donaven's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 69 plays — a elite rate for the WR. A four-star recruit in the class of 2021, Donaven has lived up to his recruiting pedigree.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

8%
projected
band 4%'25 9%12%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2021

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.9167
National rank
#223
High school
Lawrence North
Hometown
Indianapolis, IN

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2025 Production

Receiving
39 Receptions588 Rec yards3 Rec TD15.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency69th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.12 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.90 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Maryland (SP+ 1).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs New Mexico: +0.57 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Oklahoma: +0.45 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Central Michigan: +0.68 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Nebraska: +0.10 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Wisconsin: +1.42 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs USC: +1.02 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Washington: +0.05 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Purdue: -0.40 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Northwestern: +0.88 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Maryland: +1.90 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Ohio State: +0.58 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Texas: -0.03 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsNew MexicoW34-170.94317.8090.57
2@OklahomaL13-2418.339130.30440.45
3vsCentral MichiganW63-3-8.833612.00160.68
4@NebraskaW30-276.233913.00160.10
6vsWisconsinW24-10-4.4611218.71331.42
7@USCL13-3116.933913.01191.02
8vsWashingtonW24-718.422110.50150.05
9@Michigan StateW31-20-3.4199.009
10vsPurdueW21-16-6.1155.005-0.40
12vsNorthwesternW24-225.845914.80260.88
13@MarylandW45-200.624623.01241.90
14vsOhio StateL9-2730.134615.30260.58
1vsTexasL27-4116.245413.5019-0.03

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
8.9%
Passing plays
19.9%
Rushing plays
0.5%
Standard downs
6.9%
Passing downs
13.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.37
Passing downs
0.70
Pass / Rush EPA
0.56 / -0.46

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2021 · 6 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.