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Dorian Thomas

#7Dorian Thomas

Dorian Thomas is a Versatile TE for New Mexico. Dorian's 2025 season ranks in the 50th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 71 plays — a average rate for the TE.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

6%
projected
band 4%'25 10%8%

Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving
56 Receptions560 Rec yards4 Rec TD10.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)50th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.41 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.26 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Boise State (SP+ 3).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Seth GreenMinnesota2018830.3900.032.4
Ty ThompsonTulane2024480.4200.420.2
Johnny LanganRutgers2020590.3000.017.7
Evan SvobodaWyoming2024750.2900.021.8
Jordan MyersRice2021590.2700.215.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Michigan: +0.59 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Idaho State: +0.52 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs UCLA: +0.71 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs New Mexico State: +0.49 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs San José State: +0.11 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Boise State: +1.26 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Nevada: +0.62 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs UNLV: +0.41 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Colorado State: +0.02 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Air Force: -0.10 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs San Diego State: +0.10 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Minnesota: +0.59 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@MichiganL17-3412.410717.12120.59
2vsIdaho StateW32-2255611.20250.52
3@UCLAW35-10-8.734113.70200.71
5vsNew Mexico StateW38-20-15.567913.21340.49
6@San José StateL28-35-14.344010.00150.11
7@Boise StateL25-413.146115.31261.26
8vsNevadaW24-22-13.455611.20280.62
9vsUtah StateW33-14-3.12199.5017
10@UNLVW40-354.34297.30170.41
12vsColorado StateW20-17-15.634515.00300.02
13@Air ForceW20-3-3.22178.5010-0.10
14vsSan Diego StateW23-176.75316.20100.10
1vsMinnesotaL17-201.53155.00110.59

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.1%
Passing plays
21.6%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
9.9%
Passing downs
10.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.50
Passing downs
0.20
Pass / Rush EPA
0.40 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.