Elijah Sarratt is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Indiana. Elijah's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 75 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.56 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.68 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Iowa (SP+ 20).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsOld Dominion | W27-14 | 5.9 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 0 | 22 | -0.35 |
| 2 | vsKennesaw State | W56-9 | -5.4 | 9 | 97 | 10.8 | 3 | 27 | 0.49 |
| 3 | vsIndiana State | W73-0 | — | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | 15 | -0.21 |
| 4 | vsIllinois | W63-10 | 12.9 | 9 | 92 | 10.2 | 2 | 21 | 1.26 |
| 5 | @Iowa | W20-15 | 19.7 | 6 | 132 | 22.0 | 1 | 49 | 1.68 |
| 7 | @Oregon | W30-20 | 25.9 | 8 | 121 | 15.1 | 1 | 29 | 0.76 |
| 8 | vsMichigan State | W38-13 | -3.4 | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 2 | 27 | 1.12 |
| 9 | vsUCLA | W56-6 | -8.7 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| 14 | @Purdue | W56-3 | -6.1 | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | 1 | 18 | -0.12 |
| 15 | vsOhio State | W13-10 | 30.1 | 3 | 37 | 12.3 | 1 | 17 | 0.42 |
| 1 | vsOregon | W56-22 | 25.9 | 7 | 75 | 10.7 | 2 | 23 | -0.02 |
| 1 | vsAlabama | W38-3 | 14.8 | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 1 | 24 | -0.02 |
| 1 | vsMiami | W27-21 | 20.7 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 0 | 12 | -0.02 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.58
- Passing downs
- 0.97
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.69 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).