Emmanuel Henderson Jr. is a Versatile WR for Kansas. Emmanuel's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 69 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.36 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.78 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Cincinnati (SP+ 5).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsFresno State | W31-7 | 1.8 | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | 0 | 13 | 0.88 |
| 1 | vsWagner | W46-7 | — | 6 | 130 | 21.7 | 2 | 62 | 0.88 |
| 2 | @Missouri | L31-42 | 14.4 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 25 | 0.24 |
| 4 | vsWest Virginia | W41-10 | -6.8 | 6 | 38 | 6.3 | 0 | 11 | 0.12 |
| 5 | vsCincinnati | L34-37 | 4.5 | 5 | 214 | 42.8 | 2 | 93 | 1.78 |
| 6 | @UCF | W27-20 | -1.2 | 5 | 53 | 10.6 | 0 | 24 | -0.02 |
| 7 | @Texas Tech | L17-42 | 27.6 | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 0 | 19 | 0.24 |
| 9 | vsKansas State | L17-42 | 7.0 | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 10 | vsOklahoma State | W38-21 | -15.1 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 13 | -0.14 |
| 11 | @Arizona | L20-24 | 12.0 | 5 | 65 | 13.0 | 1 | 24 | 0.28 |
| 13 | @Iowa State | L14-38 | 9.9 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | 0.08 |
| 14 | vsUtah | L21-31 | 22.2 | 3 | 113 | 37.7 | 0 | 54 | 0.98 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.75
- Passing downs
- 0.16
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.60 / -0.09
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).