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Emmett Johnson

#21Emmett Johnson

Emmett Johnson is a Pass-Catching Back for Nebraska. Emmett's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 262 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

29%
projected
band 22%'25 39%36%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing
1451 Rush yards12 Rush TD251 Carries5.8 Yards/carry
Receiving
46 Receptions370 Rec yards3 Rec TD8.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency67th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.11 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.53 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Akron (SP+ -14).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State20162880.3403.997.9
Dalvin CookFlorida State20162920.3404.399.3
Donnel PumphreySan Diego State20163440.3204.2110.1
Breece HallIowa State20203010.3404.5102.3
Eno BenjaminArizona State20183160.3304.6104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Cincinnati: -0.12 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Akron: +0.53 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Houston Christian: +0.47 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Michigan: -0.04 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Michigan State: +0.36 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Maryland: +0.30 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Minnesota: +0.06 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs USC: +0.26 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs UCLA: +0.12 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Penn State: -0.11 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Iowa: +0.37 EPA/play14
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsCincinnatiW20-174.5251084.307270-0.12
2vsAkronW68-0-13.91414010.022710.53
3vsHouston ChristianW59-713786.022700.47
4vsMichiganL27-3012.419653.405320-0.04
6vsMichigan StateW38-27-3.413836.4363700.36
7@MarylandW34-310.6211768.4022000.30
8@MinnesotaL6-241.514634.5053700.06
9vsNorthwesternW28-215.8271244.622150
10vsUSCL17-2116.9291655.7121500.26
11@UCLAW28-21-8.7281294.61310320.12
13@Penn StateL10-3718.1191035.408480-0.11
14vsIowaL16-4019.7292177.5122200.37

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
39.1%
Passing plays
16.1%
Rushing plays
63.9%
Standard downs
42.5%
Passing downs
28.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.15
Passing downs
0.19
Pass / Rush EPA
0.09 / 0.18

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.